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every earnings report has an expected number. meet it. beat it. miss it.
Welcome to Beat.it, a market for whether a company will meet it, beat it, or miss it on their earnings. Settled on Robinhood.
a market on expected earnings, not price.
Every earnings report gets measured against one number — what the company was expected to earn. BeatIT publishes that expected number for a company's upcoming quarter, and you stake on whether the real result beats it, misses it, or meets it right on the nose. Here's what that looks like on three real, currently-listed companies.
every quarter has an expected number.
Wall Street publishes what it expects a company to earn each quarter. BeatIT is a market on that expected number itself — it's published, and you stake on Miss.IT, Meet.IT, or Beat.IT, depending on whether the real result comes in below it, right at it, or above it.
choose
Select a company and its upcoming earnings report.
stake
Put money behind Miss.IT, Meet.IT, or Beat.IT — however you think the report lands.
settle
Payout scales with how far the real EPS lands from what was expected — land on the wrong side and it settles at zero.
the payout curve
Every contract pays out somewhere between $0 and $1 at settlement, purely on where the actual EPS lands relative to expected earnings — price only sets what it costs you to get in. Miss.IT, Meet.IT, and Beat.IT each follow their own curve below, and every market's slider is colored by these exact same three zones, live.
a worked example
win — A company's expected EPS is $1.12. You stake $100 on Beat.IT at its $0.23 entry price, buying about 435 contracts. It reports $1.60 — 43% above what was expected — so each contract pays $0.43. Your $100 becomes about $186: an $86 profit.
lose — Same report, but you'd staked that $100 on Miss.IT instead. EPS came in above the expected number, not below it, so the position never entered its paying zone. It settles at zero, and the $100 is gone.
wins too — A different report: expected EPS is $2.05, and you stake $100 on Meet.IT at its $0.48 entry price, buying about 208 contracts. It reports $2.03 — just 1% off the expected number, close enough to sit right in Meet.IT's sweet spot — so each contract pays $0.94. Your $100 becomes about $196: a $96 profit.
why this matters
Every earnings season, thousands of companies report — and for one afternoon each quarter, the entire market re-prices around a single number. Right now, the only way to have a view on that moment is to buy or sell the stock itself, which drags in everything else happening in the market at the same time. BeatIT isolates the one event everyone's actually watching.
Built on Robinhood Chain for the same reason Robinhood made trading commission-free in the first place: settlement should be fast, and fees shouldn't eat the trade.